Why South East Queensland Is Still Australia's Strongest New-Build Investment Corridor in 2026

The federal budget just made new builds the only tax-efficient form of property investment. Here's why, after 41 years, our answer on where to invest hasn't changed - but the case just got significantly stronger.

Dark navy slide reading “South East Queensland. The investment case just got stronger.” with map and stats.

The 2026 federal budget confirmed what many property experts had anticipated: negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount now apply in full only to new-build properties. For investors who have been holding or considering existing properties, the return on investment no longer stacks up the way it once did.


With that question settled, a more important one emerges: where should investors be directing their capital now that new builds are the clear choice?


After 41 years of building exclusively across South East Queensland, our answer hasn't changed. But the case for this region just became significantly more compelling.


The fundamentals driving South East Queensland's growth


Before last week's budget, South East Queensland - and the Moreton Bay region in particular - was already delivering some of the strongest capital growth in Australia. That growth was not speculative. It was structural, driven by a convergence of forces that don't disappear when interest rates move.




Dark blue stats banner with five metric cards showing numbers, labels, and short descriptions.

The five structural forces driving South East Queensland's property market - independent of interest rate cycles.

Record population growth

240 new residents arrive in South East Queensland every week - a structural demand floor that doesn't switch off when rates rise.

Major employment growth

140,000 new local jobs are anchoring long-term residents in the region, sustaining rental demand and owner-occupier activity simultaneously.

2032 Brisbane Olympics

Seven events are scheduled across Moreton Bay and the Sunshine Coast, delivering infrastructure and global attention to the region for the next six years.

Record infrastructure investment

Roads, rail, healthcare, and education investment is lifting liveability scores across the corridor, drawing buyers who might otherwise have chosen Sydney or Melbourne.

100%+

Capital growth in Morayfield and Burpengary over the last 4 years

+79%

Capital growth in Caboolture over the same 4-year period

10,000

Dwelling undersupply already driving prices across the SEQ corridor

These results were achieved despite spiking interest rates across the period. The structural fundamentals of the market were strong enough to absorb that headwind and continue growing. Rental demand is only increasing, underpinned by an existing undersupply of 10,000 dwellings across the region.


"Despite spiking interest rates, the fundamentals of these markets remained the same and drove significant ongoing growth. Rental demand is only increasing."

What the 2026 budget means for an already undersupplied region


The budget changes have introduced a new demand dynamic on top of an already constrained market. With negative gearing now restricted to new builds, investor capital that was previously spread across both new and existing properties is now concentrating specifically into new-build stock - exactly the type of property already in short supply across South East Queensland.

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Three demand forces are now converging on the same constrained pool of new-build stock across South East Queensland.

At the same time, the federal government's expanded First Home Guarantee Scheme - announced earlier this year - now allows eligible first home buyers to purchase properties up to $1 million in South East Queensland with as little as a 2% to 5% deposit and no Lenders Mortgage Insurance. This separate policy has already been lowering the barrier to entry for an entirely different buyer cohort, adding further pressure to already-limited new-build stock.

Three forces. One constrained supply.

The pre-existing undersupply of 10,000 dwellings was already pushing prices higher. Now, investor demand pivoting to new builds and more first home buyers entering the market are converging on that same constrained pool of new-build properties. When demand increases against limited supply, prices tend to move in one direction.

Properties available now


As a family business that has been building new homes exclusively across South East Queensland for over 41 years, Dwyer Property Investments is in a strong position to help investors take advantage of this shift. We have a limited number of ready-to-start-construction 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom investment properties available right now across the Moreton Bay region and broader South East Queensland, from $825,750.


If you have existing equity and want to invest across one of Australia's strongest growth corridors with every tax benefit the new budget rules preserve intact, the window to act on available stock is narrow.


Frequently asked questions

  • Why is South East Queensland considered a strong property investment corridor in 2026?

    South East Queensland is supported by five structural growth drivers: record population growth of 240 new residents per week, 140,000 new local jobs, 7 Olympic events across Moreton Bay and the Sunshine Coast in 2032, record infrastructure investment, and a strong regional economy. Suburbs including Morayfield and Burpengary have more than doubled in capital value over the past four years, with Caboolture recording 79% growth over the same period.

  • How does the 2026 budget affect property investment in the Moreton Bay region?

    The 2026 federal budget restricts full negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount to new-build properties only. In a region already experiencing a 10,000-dwelling undersupply, this policy change is redirecting investor demand specifically into new-build stock - the same stock that is already in limited supply. Combined with the expanded First Home Guarantee Scheme, this is creating increased demand pressure on an already-constrained new-build market.

  • What is the First Home Guarantee Scheme and how does it affect the SEQ property market?

    The expanded First Home Guarantee Scheme allows eligible first home buyers in South East Queensland to purchase properties up to $1 million with a deposit of just 2% to 5%, with no Lenders Mortgage Insurance required. This significantly lowers the barrier to entry and brings more buyers into competition for new-build properties - adding further upward pressure on prices in an already undersupplied market.

  • What new-build investment properties does Dwyer Property Investments have available?

    Dwyer Property Investments currently has a limited number of ready-to-start-construction 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom investment properties available across the Moreton Bay region and South East Queensland, starting from $825,750. These properties retain the full negative gearing and depreciation benefits under the 2026 federal budget rules. Interested investors can call 1800 088 437 and ask for Gerard Condon, or book a free cashflow modelling session online.

  • Is there a rental undersupply in South East Queensland?

    Yes. South East Queensland currently has an undersupply of approximately 10,000 dwellings, which is driving rental demand and supporting strong yields for new-build investment properties in the region. With population growth continuing at 240 new residents per week, this undersupply is not expected to resolve in the near term.

Book a free discovery call

Speak with Gerard Condon, our Property Investment Specialist, to understand what the SEQ growth story means for your specific equity position and income. No cost. No obligation.

The figures, growth statistics, and comparisons in this article are indicative only and do not constitute financial, taxation, legal, or investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Capital growth figures are sourced from publicly available data and may vary. Independent advice should be obtained from a qualified accountant, financial adviser, or solicitor before making any investment decision.

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Download your free Strategic Investor's Guide to Southeast Queensland and learn:

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The key signals driving demand in Moreton Bay, Sunshine Coast, and Gympie

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Which micro-markets & product types fit common investor strategies

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Our DPI Playbook to select and de-risk stock

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Light case studies to make it real

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The Waraba City (Caboolture West) opportunity and timeline

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Next steps to get personalised suburb shortlists

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